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I’m not sure how many people will be surprised by this, but the data on global temperatures seem to indicate we are on our way to blowing past the IPCC 1.5 degree scenario – probably the most common climate scenario used by businesses for planning and regulatory disclosures.  According a new article from the The Guardian:

“The world has baked for 12 consecutive months in temperatures 1.5C (2.7F) greater than their average before the fossil fuel era, new data shows. Temperatures between July 2023 and June 2024 were the highest on record, scientists found, creating a year-long stretch in which the Earth was 1.64C hotter than in preindustrial times.”

The Guardian gives some context:

“The findings do not mean world leaders have already failed to honour their promises to stop the planet heating 1.5C by the end of the century – a target that is measured in decadal averages rather than single years.”

True, but Advisory Board member Mark Trexler offered advice three years ago that companies should audit their climate assumptions and specifically called out whether the 1.5 degree scenario is still appropriate. That’s some hot advice…

Our members can learn more about climate risks and related issues here.

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The Editor

Lawrence Heim has been practicing in the field of ESG management for almost 40 years. He began his career as a legal assistant in the Environmental Practice of Vinson & Elkins working for a partner who is nationally recognized and an adjunct professor of environmental law at the University of Texas Law School. He moved into technical environmental consulting with ENSR Consulting & Engineering at the height of environmental regulatory development, working across a range of disciplines. He was one… View Profile